National Review on Obama victory

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National Review on Obama victory

By Martin English | January 5, 2008

The National Review has an interesting comment on Obama winning the caucus vote in a state which is 90% white:

Obama’s immense victory. Yes, it’s early, yes, a lot could happen. But a man who could not have used certain restrooms forty years ago is in the center ring, not as a freak in the manner of Alberto Fujimori or Sonia Gandhi, nor even as a faction fighter in the style of Jesse Jackson, but as a real player. One of our great national sins is being obliterated, as the years pass, by the virtues of our national system. I don’t agree with Obama and I don’t particularly like him, but I am proud of this moment.

By the way, CNN has some interesting data in the entrance polls they did in Iowa. First the Republicans:

Huckabee had 40% support from women and only 29% from men. Apparently, Thompson took some of his male support.
McCain got 17% amongst those who thought events in Pakistan were very important and 3% amongst those who said not too important.
60% of Iowa Republicans are born-agains or evangelicals and they were 46% Huckabee to 19% Romney. Amongst those who are not, it is 33% Romney, 14% Huckabee
13% of those voting were Independents and 29% of them voted Ron Paul
67% said religious beliefs matter a great deal or somewhat

Now the Democrats:

Obama beats Clinton amongst female voters 35% to 30%
Clinton gets 33% to 31% for Obama for those who says events in Pakistan very important
Amongst registered Democrats it is Obama 32% to Clinton 31%. But for Independents (who were 20% of the caucus attendees) it is 41% Obama to 17% Clinton
Clinton narrowly leads 29% to 28% amongst married attendees but for singles it is Obama 43% to 24% for Clinton.
Obama does better amongst very liberal and somewhat liberal attendees than moderates.
Edwards was highest amongst people who had attended a caucus before (30%) but for first timers Obama got 41%.
52% say the top quality is ability to bring about change, and of those 51% voted Obama.
Obama got 57% of under 30s (who made up 22% of the attendees) to 11% for Clinton. Of those over 65 (also 22%) it is 45% Clinton and 18% Obama.

After looking at this, I’d have to say Clinton is in real trouble.

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